Experts still do not fully understand the reasons behind the higher rate
of heart disease seen in D:A:D, the elevated cancer rates seen in several
studies or the higher risk of non-AIDS illness and death among untreated people
with high CD4 counts in START. Persistent immune activation and inflammation,
unrecognised antiretroviral drug toxicities and traditional risk factors may
all play a role.
Researchers will continue to follow START participants for at least the
next two years – and hopefully for the next
five to ten years – to better understand long-term outcomes. Non-AIDS events
may have been uncommon in START because the population is relatively young (in
their mid-thirties) and participants have a low underlying risk compared to the
older participants (in their late forties) in SMART. Several START sub-studies
are looking at specific complications, including pulmonary, bone and
neurological sub-studies presented at this conference.
Lundgren said that the START findings show that we can't rely solely on the
CD4 count to reflect immune system damage that occurs early in HIV infection
and appears to not be fully reversible even with suppressive ART.
The good news is that D:A:D and other studies have seen a decline in
deaths among people with HIV due to cardiovascular and liver disease over the
years, despite an ageing population. The prognosis of people living with HIV
after a heart attack has also improved.
Lundgren said this trend is a tribute
to people with HIV who have made lifestyle changes such as stopping smoking, clinicians
who have learned to better manage chronic conditions in the people in their
care (for example controlling hypertension and elevated blood lipids) and the
pharmaceutical industry's innovation to improve drug safety while optimising
potency. This has enabled the field to shift from relying primarily on protease
inhibitors to mainly starting treatment with NNRTIs (non-nucleoside reverse
transcriptase inhibitors) and now integrase inhibitors.
On the other hand, there has been a striking increase in kidney disease,
perhaps associated with the widespread use of tenofovir, Lundgren said.
Moreover, non-AIDS cancers are emerging as a dominant cause of death among
people with HIV – the reduction in non-AIDS events in the early ART arm of
START was largely driven by cancer. “This points
to the fact that there's something we haven't understood about immune
deficiency that lets cancers develop which ART can repair partially but not
fully,” he said.
Some cancers that occur more often in people living with HIV are known
to be caused by infectious agents such as human papillomavirus (HPV), but he cautioned that for other types of
cancer, just because we are not aware of it does
not necessarily mean infection is not involved.
Along with these unanswered scientific questions, there are also policy
issues that must be addressed to ensure that antiretroviral treatment is made
available to everyone, worldwide, living with HIV. Cascades of care from
different countries show a wide variation in the number of people with HIV who
are diagnosed, linked to care, prescribed ART and achieve viral suppression.
Lundgren cited Russia as a country that
is not doing enough to get people with HIV on treatment. Tuberculosis played
major role in the higher level of illness and death in the delayed treatment
arm of of START, as untreated HIV increases the risk of latent infection
becoming active disease. “An environment where hardly anyone is being treated
for HIV is really creating the perfect storm for further evolution of multidrug-resistant
TB,” he warned.
Summing up, Lundgren stressed that although
the controversy about when to start ART has been resolved, “drug safety is not
a closed chapter in HIV medicine.” While antiretroviral toxicity had been decreasing
in recent years, we have no experience with decades of use. For example,
protease inhibitors inhibit the cytochrome P450 system, which “probably has
some meaningful purpose to preserve health,” he said. “We have no data on what
happens if you inhibit those enzymes for 30 years.” Given the clear benefits of
ART, randomised clinical trials will not be possible and observational studies will
remain important.
Despite the conclusive evidence
supporting the benefits of early treatment, most people living with HIV in
Europe remain off ART, Lundgren concluded, and scientific and political
leadership is needed to correct this situation.